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HOME> Outreach > Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop

NOAA's 46th Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop

Virtual Workshop
26–28 October 2021

Poster session program

Skip to session: Tuesday, Oct. 26 | Wednesday Morning, Oct. 27 | Wednesday Afternoon, Oct. 27 | Thursday, Oct. 28

Tuesday, October 26, 2021 4:30–6:00PM EDT (UTC-4:00)
Schedule	Lightning Talks	Q&A Session 5:30–6:00PM
4:30–4:35PM	Prediction skill of the eastward propagating Madden-Julian Oscillation and associated dynamics in Version 2 of NASA's GEOS-S2S forecast system Young-Kwon Lim, Nathan Arnold, Andrea Molod, and Steven Pawson, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center / Global Modeling and Assimilation Office	View Poster
4:35–4:40PM	Utility of Teleconnection Based Neural Networks Forecast Tools for Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks Gregory Jennrich, Innovim, LLC	View Poster
4:40–4:45PM	Dynamical Weighting of the Week 3-4 Models based on Forecasts of Opportunity Cory Baggett, Innovim, LLC	View Poster
4:45–4:50PM	Evaluation of Subseasonal Arctic Sea ice hindcasts in a UFS- based System Yanyun Liu (1), Wanqiu Wang (2), Weiyu Yang (1), Jeishun Zhu (2), Arun Kumar (2), and David DeWitt (2), (1) Innovim, LLC and (2) NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
4:50–4:55PM	Accelerating Progress in S2S Prediction Capabilities by Improving Subgrid-Scale Parameterizations in the UFS Benjamin Green (1), Vijay Tallapragada (2), Shan Sun (3), Eric Sinsky (4), (1) Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder; and NOAA/OAR/GSL, (2) NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, (3) NOAA/OAR/GSL, (4)IMSG and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC	View Poster
4:55–5:00PM	Ant Colony Optimization for prediction of Monsoonal rainfall Sayantika Mukherjee, Amity University Kolkata	View Poster
5:00–5:05PM	Impact of MJO on the Forecast Skill of Week-2 Severe Weather over the United States Hui Wang, Arun Kumar, Wanqiu Wang, David DeWitt, Matthew Rosencrans, NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
5:05–5:10PM	Finding maximum predictable patterns in a S2S model over summer East Asia Shing Chang (1), Nathaniel C Johnson (2), Baoqiang Xiang (2), Pang-Chi Hsu (3), Changhyun Yoo (4), Li-huan Hsu (5), Jung-Lien Chu (5) and Chung-Wei Lee (1), (1) National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan, (2) NOAA/GFDL, (3) Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, (4) Ewha Womans University, Seoul, South Korea, (5) National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City, Taiwan	View Poster
5:10–5:15PM	An inter-comparison of South America synoptic-scale storms between two sources of datasets Luthiene Dalanhese (2), Thales Costa (3), Matthew LaPlante (1), S.-Y. Simon Wang (1,2), (1) Department of Plants, Soils, and Climate, Utah State University, (2) Utah Climate Center, Utah State University, (3) Universidade Federal Fluminense - Campus Praia Vermelha, Niteroi, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil	View Poster
5:15–5:20PM	Miracle Spring Precipitation under the warmer climate in Colorado River Basin Binod Pokharel (1, 2), S.-Y. Simon Wang (1), Krishna Borhara (1), Kripa Akila Jagannathan (3), Andrew Jones (3), and Smitha Buddhavarapu (3), (1) Department of Plants, Soils and Climate, Utah State University, (2) Utah Climate Center, Utah State University, (3) Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory	View Poster
5:20–5:25PM	The role of the western North Pacific in the develoPMent of El Nino Southern Oscillation under a warming climate Krishna Borhara and S.-Y. Simon Wang, Department of Plants, Soils and Climate, Utah State University	View Poster
5:25–5:30PM	Combining seasonal forecasts into multi-model ensemble to increase forecast skill of Alaska summer fire weather Cecilia Borries-Strigle (1), Uma Bhatt (1), Peter Bieniek (1), Heidi Strader (2), Eric Stevens (2), Rick Thoman (3), Alison York (4), Robert Ziel (4), (1) University of Alaska Fairbanks, (2) Alaska Interagency Coordination Center, (3) UAF Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy, and (4) Alaska Fire Science Consortium	View Poster
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Wednesday Morning, October 27, 2021 11:00AM–12:30PM EDT (UTC-4:00)
Schedule	Lightning Talks	Q&A Session 12:00–12:30PM
11:00–11:05AM	The influence of the Gulf of Mexico on the climatology of tropical cyclones striking the Atlantic coast of the United States from Florida to North Carolina B. Lee Lindner, William Holden, Mikel Hannah-Harding, Kirsten Broussard, College of Charleston	View Poster
11:05–11:10AM	2021 heat season from an extreme heat perspective: Overview and results of subseasonal forecast tools Evan Oswald (1) and Jon Gottschalck (2), (1) Innovim, LLC and (2) NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
11:10–11:15AM	Improve GEFSv12 extended forecast by deep learning Li Xu (1), Yun Fan (2), Matthew Rosencrans (2), Jon Gottschalck (2), and David Dewitt (2), (1) Innovim, LLC and (2) NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
11:15–11:20AM	Update to the 30-year Climate Normals:Comparisons and Impacts Sean Parker (1), Nicholas Novella (2), and Mike Halpert (2), (1) Rutgers University and (2) NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
11:20–11:25AM	Identifying skillful subseasonal precipitation forecasts over southwest Asia Melissa Breeden (1), John R. Albers (1), Andrew Hoell (2), (1) Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder and (2) NOAA / Physical Sciences Laboratory	View Poster
11:25–11:30AM	Bias Correction of Mixed Distributions of Temperature and Precipitation with Strong Diurnal Signal Muhammad Haider, Malaquias Pena, and Emmanouil Anagnostou, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Connecticut	View Poster
11:30–11:35AM	Application of Remote Sensing to predict extreme Oceanic- Atmospheric-Climatic Changes and develop Numerical Ocean-Atmospheric-Climate Forecast Models Virendra Goswami, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) & 'Environment and Peace Foundation'	View Poster
11:35–11:40AM	Regional and Global Atmospheric-Oceanic Drivers of Anomalous Summer Sea Surface Temperatures in the Eastern North Pacific Mitch Porter (1), Seth Madden (2), Katie Kohlman (3), and Tom Murphree (4), (1) Johns Hopkins University, (2) Santa Clara University, (3) Pennsylvania State University, (4) Naval Postgraduate School	View Poster
11:40–11:45AM	Influence of Madden-Julian Oscillation on extreme rainfall events in Spring in southern Uruguay Matilde Ungerovich (1), Marcelo Barreiro (1), and Cristina Masoller (2), (1) Universidad de la Republica (Uruguay) and (2) Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya (Spain)	View Poster
11:45–11:50AM	Inter-comparison of BASS and Observation-based Salinity Products Li Ren (1), Pingping Xie (2), and Arun Kumar (2), (1) Innovim, LLC and (2) NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
11:50–11:55AM	Potential Predictability and Impacts of Subseasonal Extreme Precipitation Events in the United States Melanie Schroers and Elinor Martin, University of Oklahoma	View Poster
11:55AM–12:00PM	Investigation of the linkage between AMOC slowdown and North Atlantic cold blob in the past century: a modeling study Yifei Fan (1), Jianhua Lu (2), and Laifang Li (1), (1) Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, the Pennsylvania State University and (2) School of Atmospheric Sciences and Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies, Sun Yat-sen University	View Poster
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Wednesday Afternoon, October 27, 2021 4:30PM–6:00PM EDT (UTC-4:00)
Schedule	Lightning Talks	Q&A Session 5:30–6:00PM
4:30–4:35PM	Fewer troughs, not more ridges, led to the drying trend in the western United States Wei Zhang (1), Vittal Hari (2), Simon Wang (1,3), Matthew D. LaPlante (1,4), Gregg Garfin (5), and Rohini Kumar (2), (1) Department of Plants, Soils and Climate, Utah State University, (2) UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Leipzig, 04318, Germany, (3) Utah Climate Center, Utah State University, (4) Department of Journalism and Communication, Utah State University, and (5) School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona	View Poster
4:35–4:40PM	Relationship between prediction skill of surface winds in average of weeks 1 to 4 and interannual variability over the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean Ravi Shukla and Jim Kinter, CPAESS / UCAR, Climate Prediction Center and Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, George Mason University	View Poster
4:40–4:45PM	Extreme event monitoring using the remote sensing of infrastructure as a key parameter Thomas Chen, Academy for Mathematics, Science, and Engineering	View Poster
4:45–4:50PM	Prediction skill of GEFSv12 in depicting Monthly Rainfall and Associated Extreme Rainfall Events over Taiwan during Summer Monsoon Season Murali Malasala, (1), M. M. Nageswararao (2), Yuejian Zhu (2), and Vijay Tallapragada (2), (1) UCAR visiting scientist at NOAA/NWS/EMC and (2) NOAA Environmental Modeling Center	View Poster
4:50–4:55PM	Overview of the New Version of the Climate Assessment Database Melissa Ou, Donald Garrett, David Miskus, Thomas Collow, NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
4:55–5:00PM	Updating Climate Normals Impact on NMME Forecast Qin Zhang (1), Johnna Infanti (1), Sara Strey (2), and Matthew Rosencrans (1), (1) NOAA Climate Prediction Center and (2) Innovim, LLC	View Poster
5:00–5:05PM	Multivariable Analysis of SSTs, VWS, and Convection as precursors to TC Activity in the Atlantic MDR Keneshia Hibbert (1), Tom Smith (2), and Jorge Gonzalez (3), (1) NOAA CESSRST/City University of NY, (2) NOAA/STAR/SCSB and CISESS/ESSIC, and (3) NOAA/Dept. of Mechanical Engineering at City University of NY	View Poster
5:05–5:10PM	Initialized and Uninitialized ENSO Predictability in Year 2 Nathan Lenssen, Lisa Goddard, Simon Mason, and Yochanan Kushnir, Columbia University / International Research Institute	View Poster
5:10–5:15PM	Moisture based agro-climate indices across the Canadian Prairies under a changing climate Aston Chipanshi, Dongzhi Qi, Yinsuo Zhang, and Mark Berry, Science and Technology Branch, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada	View Poster
5:15–5:20PM	NWS Subseasonal to Seasonal Impact-Based Decision Support Services Marina Timofeyeva, Viviane Silva, and NWS Climate Services Branch	View Poster
5:20–5:25PM	Enhancing Subseasonal Temperature Prediction by Bridging a Statistical Model With Dynamical Arctic Oscillation Forecasting Changhyun Yoo (1), Minju Kim (1), and Jung Choi (2), (1) Ewha Womans University and (2) Seoul National University	View Poster
5:25–5:30PM	Making Decisions About Extreme Precipitation: How Practitioners Use Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Extreme Precipitation Forecasts and Tools Olivia VanBuskirk (1), Renee A McPherson (1), Heather Lazrun (2), Elinor Martin (3), Charles Kuster (4), Esther Mullens (5), and Paulina Cwik (1), (1) University of Oklahoma and South Central CLimate Adaptation Science Center, (2) National Center for Atmospheric Research, (3) Univeristy of Oklahoma, (4) Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of OK, and (5) University of Florida	View Poster
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Thursday, October 28, 2021 11:00AM–12:30PM EDT (UTC-4:00)
Schedule	Lightning Talks	Q&A Session 12:00–12:30PM
11:00–11:05AM	Next Generation Global Ocean Data Assimilation System: a new 40-year reanalysis and OSSE applications Jeishun Zhu (1), Jong Kim (2), Guillaume Vernieres (3), Arun Kumar (1), and Wanqiu Wang (1), (1) NOAA Climate Prediction Center, (2) IMSG @ NOAA Environmental Modeling Center, and (3)NOAA Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation	View Poster
11:05–11:10AM	Seasonal Sea Ice hindcasts with UFS Jeishun Zhu (1), Wanqiu Wang (1), Yanyun Liu (2), Weiyu Yang (2), Arun Kumar (1), and David DeWitt (1), (1) NOAA Climate Prediction Center and (2) Innovim, LLC	View Poster
11:10–11:15AM	Understanding US Drought in Past 120+ Years Yun Fan, NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
11:15–11:20AM	Association between tropical variability and Indian summer monsoon through moisture budget Priyanshi Singhai and Arindam Chakraborty, Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, and Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, 560012, Karnataka, India	View Poster
11:20–11:25AM	Needs for S2S Information, Tools and Resources for Water Resources Outlooks Maggie Hurwitz, NWS Climate Services Branch	View Poster
11:25–11:30AM	A Conventional Observation Reanalysis for Climate Monitoring Li Zhang (1), Wesley Ebisuzaki (2), Arun Kumar (2), Jeffrey Whitaker (3), Jack Woollen(4, 5), (1) Innovim, LLC, (2) NOAA Climate Prediction Center, (3) NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, (4) NOAA Environmental Modeling Center, (5) IMSG	View Poster
11:30–11:35AM	Developing an Experimental Week 3-4 Storm Track Outlook over North Pacific, North America, and North Atlantic Yutong Pan (1), Wanqiu Wang (2), Edmund K.M. Chang (3), Hui Wang (2), David DeWitt (2), (1)Innovim, LLC, (2) NOAA CLimate Prediction Center, and (3) School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University	View Poster
11:35–11:40AM	Evaluation of S2S Model Performance for Forecasting US Extreme Precipitation Events Devin McAfee, Elinor Martin, and Jason Furtado, University of Oklahoma	View Poster
11:40–11:45AM	Extended range verification using economic value Eva Regnier, Joel Feldmeier, and Susan Sanchez, Naval Postgraduate School	View Poster
11:45–11:50AM	An analog method and tool for seasonal forecasting in northern high latitudes Rick Thoman, Brian Brettschneider, John Walsh, and Nathan Kettle, University of Alaska Fairbanks	View Poster
11:50–11:55AM	Seasonal Tropical-Extratropical Teleconnections beyond ENSO Using Tropical Rainfall Modes for Northern Winters Peitao Peng, Wanqiu Wang, and Arun Kumar, NOAA Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
11:55AM–12:00PM	The distinguish influence of equatorial subsurface winter Ocean initial conditions in 1979 and 1997 on tropical summer SST in CFSv2 Seasonal Reforecasts Ravi Shukla, CPAESS / UCAR, Climate Prediction Center	View Poster
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