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Climate Diagnostics Bulletin
Climate Diagnostics Bulletin - Home Climate Diagnostics Bulletin - Tropics Climate Diagnostics Bulletin - Forecast

 

  Extratropical Highlights

  Table of Indices  (Table 3)

  Global Surface Temperature  E1

  Temperature Anomalies (Land Only)  E2

  Global Precipitation  E3

  Regional Precip Estimates (a)  E4

  Regional Precip Estimates (b)  E5

  U.S. Precipitation  E6

  Northern Hemisphere

  Southern Hemisphere

  Stratosphere

  Appendix 2: Additional Figures

Extratropical Highlights

SEPTEMBER 2020

1

Extratropical Highlights –September 2020

 

1. Northern Hemisphere

The 500-hPa circulation during September featured above-average heights over the high latitudes of Siberia, the northwestern U.S., the North Atlantic, and western Europe, and below-average heights over the North Pacific, eastern Canada, the high latitudes of the North Atlantic, and the mid-latitudes of Eurasia (Fig. E9). For the Atlantic, the pattern projected strongly onto the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO, +1.1 std. dev.) (Fig. E7, Table E1). The atmospheric circulation anomalies also had strong projection onto the East Atlantic (EA, +1.9 std. dev.) and West Pacific (WP, -2.4 std. dev.) patterns (Fig. E7, Table E1).

The main land-surface temperature signals during September included above-average temperatures in the western U.S. and much of Eurasia, and near-average temperatures across central and eastern North America (Fig. E1).  The main precipitation signals included above-average totals in the southeastern and mid-Atlantic regions of the U.S., and southern China, and below-average totals in the northeastern, north-central and western U.S. (Fig. E3).

 

a. United States

The 500-hPa circulation during September featured an amplified ridge in the western U.S., and a deep trough in the central U.S. (Figs. E9, E11). This anomalous wave pattern was associated with above-average surface temperatures in the western U.S. and mostly near-average temperatures in the central U.S. (Fig. E1). Well below-average precipitation occurred in large portions of the western U.S., which was situated between the mean ridge and trough axes (Fig. E3). Area-average totals have been below the 10th percentile of occurrences in the Southern California region for the past three months (Fig. E5). In the Southeast region, rainfall totals have been above the 80th percentile of occurrences for the past two months.

According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, severe-to-exceptional drought continued in the southwestern U.S. One of the hardest-hit regions is the 4-corner states of Utah, Colorado, Arizona, and New Mexico. Another major drought area extended from the southern Washington to the northern California.

 

b. North Atlantic/ Europe

The 500-hPa height pattern featured above-average heights over the mid-latitudes of the North Atlantic and Europe, and below-average heights over the high latitudes (Fig. E9). This pattern reflected a positive phase of the NAO (+1.1 std. dev.) (Fig. E7, Table E1).

The overall circulation contributed to a continuation of exceptionally warm surface temperatures across Europe (Fig. E1), with most of the continent again recording departures in the upper 90th percentile of occurrences. Below-average precipitation in southern Africa has recorded for the last five months (Fig. E4).

 

c. West African monsoon

The west African monsoon extends from June through September, with a peak during July-September. During this September, the monsoon rains were enhanced (Fig. E3, Fig. T24) with area-average rainfall totals above the 90th percentile of occurrences (see Sahel region, Fig. E4). This region has recorded above-average precipitation for the last seven months.

 

 

2. Southern Hemisphere

The mean 500-hPa circulation during September featured above-average heights over the mid-latitudes of both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans, and in a region from the northern Australia to the Antarctic edge of the southeastern Atlantic Ocean, and below-average heights at the high latitudes of both the Pacific and Indian Oceans (Fig. E15). The main surface temperature signals included well above-average temperatures in Australia and much of South America, and well below-average SSTs in the southern Indian Ocean (Fig. E1).  The main precipitation signals included below-average totals across large portions of South America, and near-average totals in southern Africa and Australia (Fig. E3) 

The Antarctic ozone hole typically develops during August and reaches its peak size in September. The ozone hole then gradually decreases during October and November, and dissipates in early December (Fig. S8 top). During this September, the size of the ozone hole was mostly above average at 20 to 25 million square kilometers. This increased size was associated with a slightly larger than average size of the SH polar vortex (Fig. S8 middle), and with an anomalously large area of Polar stratospheric cloud (Fig. S8 bottom).

 


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