Tropical Highlights
SEPTEMBER 2008
Forecast Forum
ENSO-neutral
conditions continued during September 2008, as sea surface temperatures (SSTs)
in the east-central equatorial
Pacific Ocean
remained near-average
(Fig. T18). The
latest monthly SST index was -0.2°C in the Niņo-3.4 region, and -0.4°C in the
Niņo-4 region (Table T2).
The oceanic
thermocline, measured by the depth of the 20°C
isotherm along the equator, featured shallower-than-average depths in the
east-central equatorial Pacific during September (Figs. T15,
T16). Consistent with this, equatorial oceanic
temperatures at thermocline depth were 1-3 oC below average in the
east-central equatorial Pacific (Fig. T17).
However,
the
atmospheric circulation continued to reflect some lingering aspects of La Niņa,
with enhanced low-level easterly winds
and upper-level westerly winds over
the western and central tropical Pacific
(Figs.
T20, T21, Table T1). Also, convection remained suppressed
throughout the central equatorial Pacific and enhanced over
Indonesia
(Figs.
T25, T26 and
E3).
For
the latest status of the ENSO cycle see the ENSO Diagnostic Discussion at:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/index.html
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