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Tropical Highlights
JUNE 2008
Forecast Forum
A
transition from La Ni�a to ENSO-neutral conditions occurred during June 2008,
as sea surface temperatures (SSTs) returned to near-average across the
east-central equatorial
Pacific Ocean
(Fig. T18).
Also, positive SST anomalies continued in the eastern equatorial Pacific.
Consistent with this pattern, the latest monthly SST index was -0.3�C in the Ni�o-3.4
region, and +0.6�C in the Ni�o 1+2 region (Table
T2). Across the equatorial Pacific, a deeper than
average thermocline (Fig. T16) and above
average temperatures (+1�C to
+4�C) at
thermocline depth also
reflected the transition to ENSO neutral conditions (Fig. T17).
However, enhanced
low-level easterly winds and upper-level westerly winds continued across the
central equatorial Pacific during June (Figs.
T20, T21, Table T1).
Convection remained suppressed throughout the central equatorial Pacific and
enhanced over the far western Pacific (Figs.
T25, E3).
Collectively, these atmospheric conditions continued to indicate a lingering La
Ni�a signal.
For
the latest status of the ENSO cycle see the ENSO Diagnostic Discussion at:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/index.html
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