Extratropical Highlights – February 2014
1. Northern Hemisphere
The 500-hPa circulation during February
featured above-average heights over the central and high latitudes of the North
Pacific, the southwestern U.S., the central North Atlantic, Scandinavia, and
western Russia, and below-average heights across North America, the high
latitudes of the North Atlantic, and central Russia (Fig. E9). Regional aspects of this
circulation included enhanced westerly jet stream winds across the United States
and North Atlantic Ocean, along with a southward shift of the North Atlantic
jet stream (Figs. T21, E10). Other
aspects included a marked strengthening of both the Hudson Bay trough and the
Icelandic Low.
In the Pacific/ North American
sector, the extensive 500-hPa height anomalies projected onto the strong negative
phase of the Pacific/ North American (-1.6, PNA) teleconnection pattern. Over
the Atlantic and Eurasian sectors, the 500-hPa height anomalies projected onto
the strong positive phase of the East Atlantic (EA, +2.2) and Scandinavia (+1.1)
patterns, and also onto the negative phase of the East Atlantic/ West Russia
(-1.9, EAWR) pattern (Table E1, Fig. E7).
The main land-surface temperature signals
during February included well above-average temperatures in the southwestern
U.S. and Europe, and below-average temperatures in western Canada, the
north-central U.S., and central Russia (Fig.
E1). The main precipitation signals included above-average
totals in the Pacific Northwest and Northeast regions of the U.S., and in large
portions of southern Europe, and below-average totals in the southwestern and
south-central U.S., eastern Europe and western Russia (Fig. E3).
a. North Pacific/ North America
The mean 500-hPa circulation during
February featured an amplified ridge over the central and high latitudes of the
North Pacific, and the southwestern U.S., and an amplified trough across central
North America (Fig. E9).
This circulation projected onto the negative phase of the PNA teleconnection pattern
(-1.6) (Table E1,
Fig. E7).
This overall pattern was associated
with enhanced westerly jet stream winds across the eastern North Pacific and
central North America (Fig. T21). It was also associated with
anomalous northeasterly winds in western Canada. The northern branch of this
confluent flow brought anomalously cold surface temperatures to western and
central Canada, and to the north-central U.S. (Fig. E1). The southern branch brought
anomalously warm and dry conditions to the southwestern U.S. (Figs. E1, E3).
Above-average precipitation totals
in the Pacific Northwest during February were the first since September 2013.
In contrast, the Southwest, Southern California, and Great Plains regions of
the U.S. have recorded precipitation deficits for at least the last three
months (Fig. E5).
These ongoing deficits have
contributed to an expansion and worsening of drought conditions in the western
U.S. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor (http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu), much
of California and northwestern Nevada reported either extreme or exceptional drought
throughout the month. Southern Oregon, Idaho, and much of New Mexico reported
severe drought.
Drought also worsened and expanded in
the Great Plains during February (Fig. E5). By the end of the month moderate or severe
drought persisted from Texas to northern Nebraska, with isolated regions of extreme
drought present.
In the mid-western U.S., near- or
above-average precipitation during the last five months has reduced the
severity of ongoing drought conditions (Fig.
E5). However, the U.S. Drought Monitor at the end
of February indicated the persistence of moderate drought in large portions of
the upper Midwest.
b. North Atlantic/ Eurasia
The mean 500-hPa circulation during
February featured above-average heights across the central North Atlantic,
Scandinavia, and western Russia, and below-average heights over the high
latitudes of the North Atlantic (Fig. E9). This pattern projected onto the positive phases
of the East Atlantic (+2.2) and Scandinavia (+1.1) teleconnection patterns, and
also onto the negative phase of the East Atlantic/ West Russia (-1.9) pattern (Table E1, Fig. E7). February marks the third consecutive with a
strong positive EA pattern, and the second straight month with a strong
negative EAWR pattern
During February, this circulation
was again associated with an enhanced North Atlantic jet stream that extended
from the eastern U.S. to central Europe. It was also associated with an enhanced
flow of marine air into Europe and Scandinavia (Fig. E10). These conditions contributed
to above-average temperatures across Europe, with much of the continent
recording departures in the upper 70th percentile of occurrences (Fig. E1). They
also contributed to a continuation of below-average temperatures in central
Russia, with most areas recording departures in the lowest 30th
percentile of occurrences.
Precipitation within and downstream
of the strong ridge axis was again well below-average, with eastern Europe recording
totals in the lowest 30th percentile of occurrences and southwestern
Russia recording totals in the lowest 10th percentile of occurrences
(Fig. E3).
2. Southern Hemisphere
The mean 500-hPa circulation during
February featured above-average heights in the middle latitudes and
below-average heights over the high latitudes of the South Atlantic Ocean (Fig. E15). In
Australia, precipitation was below average in the northeast (Fig. E3).
The South African rainy season
lasts from October to April. During February, much of the region recorded near-average
totals (Figs. E3,
E4). To date, the 2013-14 rainy season totals have
been above-average during October, December, and January, below-average in
November, and near-average in February.