Extratropical Highlights – January 2014
1. Northern Hemisphere
The 500-hPa circulation during January
featured a persistent zonal wave-2 pattern. This pattern included a strong
ridge in western North America and another over Greenland and Scandinavia. It
also included trough extending from central Asia to the eastern North Pacific and
another extending from the eastern U.S. to Europe (Fig. E9). Regional aspects of this
circulation included highly amplified wave patterns across North America and
Europe, and amplified jet streams across both the central North Pacific and
North Atlantic Oceans (Fig. T21).
Over the Pacific/ North American
sector, the extensive 500-hPa height anomalies projected onto the strong
positive phase (+1.6) of the Tropical/ Northern Hemisphere (TNH) teleconnection
pattern. Over the Atlantic and Eurasian sectors, the 500-hPa height anomalies
projected onto the strong positive phase of the East Atlantic (EA, +1.4) and
Scandinavia (+1.8) patterns, and also onto the negative phase of the East
Atlantic/ West Russia (-1.3) pattern (Table
E1, Fig. E7). Strong positive
TNH and EA patterns were also evident last month.
The main land-surface temperature signals
during January included well above-average temperatures across Alaska, western
Canada, the western U.S., Europe, and northern China, and below-average
temperatures in the eastern half of the U.S. and across central Siberia (Fig. E1). The
main precipitation signals included below-average totals along the west coast
of North America, the southern and eastern U.S., Scandinavia and northern Russia,
and eastern China (Fig. E3).
a. North Pacific/ North America
The mean 500-hPa circulation during
January featured an extensive trough across the high latitudes of the North
Pacific, and a large-amplitude wave pattern across North America (Fig. E9).
This circulation projected onto the positive phase of the TNH pattern (+1.6) (Table E1, Fig. E7). A similar large-scale anomaly pattern was also
present last month.
Over the North Pacific, the January
circulation was associated with an enhanced east Asian jet stream that extended
farther east than normal (Fig. T21). Over North America, the wave
pattern featured an amplified ridge in the west, which extended into the polar
region, and a very strong Hudson Bay trough (Fig. E9). This pattern contributed to
exceptionally warm conditions in Alaska, western Canada, and the western U.S.
and to below-average temperatures across the eastern half of the U.S. (Fig. E1). The
most significant positive departures were observed in Alaska and western
Canada, where mean temperatures averaged more than 5oC above average
and were in the upper 90th percentile of occurrences.
For the central and eastern U.S.,
exceptionally cold temperatures throughout the month resulted from a strong
northwesterly flow of arctic air into the middle of the country. Monthly
temperatures throughout these regions were in the lowest 30th
percentile of occurrences.
The strong ridge over western North
America also contributed to a continuation of exceptionally dry conditions in
the western U.S., in the region immediately downstream of the mean ridge axis (Fig. E3).
Anomalous sinking motion and below-average precipitation has prevailed in the
western U.S. since October 2013. The Pacific Northwest has recorded totals in
the lowest 20th percentile of occurrences throughout this 4-month
period, while southern California has recorded well below-average precipitation
during the last two months (Fig. E5). These ongoing precipitation deficits have
contributed to a worsening of drought conditions from Washington State to
southern California. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor (http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu), much
of California and northwestern Nevada reported either extreme or exceptional drought
by the end of the month. Most of Oregon and southern Idaho reported severe
drought, and Washington State and northern Idaho reported moderate drought.
Anomalously dry conditions also
overspread the Plains states during January, with area-average totals in the
lowest 20th percentile of occurrences (Fig. E4). By the end of the month
moderate or severe drought persisted from Texas to northern Nebraska, with
isolated regions of extreme drought also present.
In the mid-western U.S., near- or
above-average precipitation during the last five months has reduced the
severity of ongoing drought conditions (Fig.
E5). However, the U.S. Drought Monitor indicates that
moderate or severe drought still persisted in large portions of the upper
Midwest at the end of January.
b. North Atlantic/ Eurasia
The mean 500-hPa circulation during
January featured above-average heights across the central North Atlantic, Greenland
and Scandinavia, and below-average heights over eastern
Europe (Fig. E9).
This pattern projected onto the positive phases of the East Atlantic (+1.4) and
Scandinavia (+1.8) teleconnection patterns, and also onto the negative phase of
the East Atlantic/ west Russia (-1.3) pattern (Table E1, Fig. E7).
This circulation was associated
with an enhanced North Atlantic jet stream that extended from the eastern U.S.
to central Europe. It was also associated with an enhanced flow of marine air
into Europe, and with anomalous southerly flow across Scandinavia (Fig. E10). These
conditions contributed to above-average temperatures across Europe, with much
of the continent recording temperatures in the upper 70th percentile
of occurrences (Fig. E1). In contrast, precipitation within and
downstream of the strong ridge axis was well below-average, with the area from
central Scandinavia to north-central Russia recording totals in the lowest 10th
percentile of occurrences (Fig. E3).
2. Southern Hemisphere
The mean 500-hPa circulation during
January featured above-average heights over the high latitudes of the central
South Pacific, southern Australia, and the area south of Africa, and
below-average heights over the high latitudes of the South Atlantic, the
western Indian Ocean and New Zealand (Fig.
E15). In Australia, precipitation was above-
(below) average in the west (east) (Fig.
E3). These areas coincided with the upstream and
downstream portions of the mean ridge axis, respectively.
The South African rainy season
lasts from October to April. During January, much of the interior region and
Madagascar recorded totals in the upper 70th percentile of
occurrences (Fig. E3).
For the entire South African monsoon region, area-averaged totals were in the
upper 70th percentile of occurrences (Fig. E4).
To date, the 2013-14 rainy season has produced
above-average totals during October, December, and January, and below-average
totals in November.