The 500-hPa circulation
pattern during November featured above-average heights across central North
America, the high latitudes of the North Atlantic, and the western North
Pacific, and below-average heights over the southwestern
United States
, the central
North Atlantic
, and portions of the polar region (Figs. E9, E11). The main
temperature departures during November included warmer-than-average
conditions over the eastern half of the United States, most of Canada,
northwestern and southeastern Europe, and most of Asia (Fig. E1).
The main precipitation departures included above-average totals over the
southwestern and south-central
U.S., below-average totals over western Europe (Fig. E3).
a. North America
The mean 500-hPa circulation
pattern during November featured persistent positive height anomalies
across central North America and an anomalous trough over the southwestern
United States
(Figs. E9, E11). This circulation pattern was associated with a
pronounced split-flow configuration over the western portion of the
continent. In the northern branch of the flow, an enhanced influx of marine
air (Fig. E10) contributed to anomalously warm temperatures over
much of
Canada
(Fig. E1).
In the southern branch of the
flow, broad southwesterly winds downstream of the mean upper-level trough
axis covered the southern
United States
. Several storm systems within this enhanced low-latitude flow contributed
to above-average precipitation across the south-central, southwestern, and
Intermountain states (Figs. E3, E5). Rainfall in the south-central
U.S.
exceeded the 70th percentile of occurrences, with totals over
eastern
Texas
and western
Louisiana
exceeding the 90th percentile of occurrences. The Southwest and
Inter-Mountain regions have recorded above-average precipitation for three
consecutive months (Fig. E5), which has helped to moderate the
long-term drought conditions plaguing these regions.
b. North Atlantic/Europe
Above-average 500-hPa heights covered the high
latitudes of the North Atlantic during November and below-average heights
spanned the central
North Atlantic
. This anomaly pattern reflected a complete disappearance of the mean
Icelandic Low (Fig. T21). These conditions were associated with an
enhanced flow of marine air into northern Europe and
Scandinavia
. They were also associated with large-scale sinking motion and
significantly below-average precipitation over western Europe in the area
immediately downstream of the mean upper-level ridge axis.
Also downstream of the ridge
axis, a split-flow configuration was present over Europe and western
Russia
. The northern branch of the flow constituted the main belt of westerlies
that extended eastward across northern
Asia
. This zonal flow likely transported the anomalous marine air entering
northern Europe to the Far East, thereby contributing to the well
above-average temperatures recorded across central and eastern
Asia
. Mean temperatures in these areas generally exceeded the 70th
percentile of occurrences, with the largest departures (3°-5°C) observed
over central and eastern Siberia. Within the southern branch of the split
flow, anomalous southwesterly winds across southeastern Europe and
northeastern
Africa
brought well above-average temperatures to these regions.
2. Southern Hemisphere
The 500-hPa circulation pattern during November
featured above-average heights over the high latitudes of the South Pacific
and the western
South Atlantic
, and below-average heights over most of the middle latitudes (Fig. E15).
At 200-hPa, cyclonic streamfunction anomalies and an enhanced subtropical
jet stream covered the South Pacific from central
Australia
to
South America
(Figs. T21, T22). These conditions contributed to above-average
precipitation over large portions of central
South America
.
In southern
Africa
the rainy season normally lasts from October to April. During November
area-averaged precipitation totals were in the lowest 10th
percentile of occurrences (Fig. E4), and regional totals in eastern
South Africa
,
Mozambique
, and southern
Tanzania
were generally in the lowest 30th percentile of occurrences.
This below-average rainfall was associated with an area of anomalous
upper-level convergence (Fig. T23) downstream of an amplified upper
level ridge (Fig. T22). Surface temperatures were also well
above-average across over most of
South Africa
, with monthly departures generally exceeding the 90th
percentile of occurrences. This excessive warmth is consistent with the
combination of the anomalous upper-level ridge and below-average rainfall.