FIGURE F2. CCA-based forecasts for the SST in a large region in the east-central equatorial Pacific (5°N–5°S, 120°-170°W), expressed as a standardized anomaly for the upcoming five consecutive 3-month periods. CCA predictions are based on anomaly patterns of SST, depth of the 20°C isotherm, sea level height and sea level pressure. Small squares at the midpoints of the vertical forecast bars represent the CCA predictions, and the bars show the one (thick) and two (thin) standard deviation errors. The solid continuous line represents the observed standardized three-month mean SST anomaly in the target region up to the most recently available data.